World GovernmentThe idea of world government is returning to the main stream of scholarly thinking about international relations. Universities in North America and Europe now routinely advertise for positions in ‘‘global governance,’’a term that few would have heard of a decade ago. Chapters on cosmopolitan is and governance appear in many current international relations textbooks. Leading scholars are wrestling with the topic, including Alexander Wendt, perhaps now America’s most influential theorist, who has recently suggested that a world government is simply‘ ‘inevitable.’’
Global GovernanceWhile some scholars envision a more formal world state, and others argue for amuch looser system of ‘‘global governance,’’ it is probably safe to say that the growing number of works on this topic can be grouped together into the broader category of ‘‘ world government ’’ a school of thought that supports the creation of international authority (or authorities) that can tackle the global problems that nation-states currently cannot. It is not, of course, a new idea. Dreaming of a world without war, or of government without tyranny, idea lists have advocated some kind of world or universal state since the classical period.
UtopiaThe Italian poet Dante viewed world government as a kind of utopia. The Dutch scholar Hugo Grotius, often regarded as the founder of international law, believed in the eventual formation of a world government to enforce it.The notion interested many visionary thinkers in the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries, including H.G.Wellsand Aldous Huxley. In 1942 the one-time Republican presidential candidate Wendell Willkie published a famous book on the topic, One World.
Hiroshima and NagasakiAnd after the Second World War, the specter of atomic war moved many prominent American scholars and activists, including Albert Einstein, the University of Chicago president Robert Hutchins, and the columnist Dorothy Thompson, to advocate an immediate world state—not so much out of idealistic dreams but because only such a state, they believed, could prevent a third world war fought with the weapons that had just obliterated Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
World FederalismThe campaign continued until as late as 1950, when the popular magazine Reader’s Digest serialized a book by the world-government advocate Emery Reves,while at the same time the Senate Sub committee on Foreign Relations was considering several motions to urge the Truman administration to adopt apolicy of world federalism. In fact, to this day the World Federalist Movement—an international NGO founded in1947 and recognized by the United
Cold WarNations boasts a membership of 30,000 to 50,000 worldwide. By the 1950s, however, serious talk of world government had largely disappeared. The failure of the Baruch Plan toestablish international control over atomic weaponry inlate1946 signaled its demise, for it cleared the way (as the plan’s authors quietly intended) for the United States and the Soviet Union to continue a pace with their respective atomic projects. What state would place its trust in a world government when there were sovereign nations that possessed, or could soon possess, atomic bombs? 3 Certainly, neither the United Statesn or the Soviet Union was willing to do so, andonce the two states committed themselves to the international rivalry that became knownas the Cold War, the impossibility of true global government became obvious and the campaign in favor of it diminished.
End of the old Cold WarThere was a perverse logic to this, but we can be thankful that his demands were not heeded. The end of the Cold War, together with the emergence of various intractable global problems, has spurred there surgence of writing about world government. In this essay I will introduce three themes thatappear frequently in this 134 Campbell Craigwriting: howthe ‘‘collective action problem’’ lies behind many of the current global crises; the debate between those who support a softer form of ‘‘governance’’ and those who look toward a full-fledged world state; and the fundamental question of whether world government i spossible, and whether it is even desirable. The Intensifying Dangers of International Anarchy Certainly,oneof themost evident failures of the nation-state system in recent years has been its inability todeal successfully with problems that endanger much ormost of the world’s population. As the world has becomemore globalized—economically integrated and culturally interconnected individual countries have become increasingly averse to dealing with international problems that arenot caused by any single state and cannot be fixed even by the focused efforts of individual governments. Political scientists refer to this quandary as the ‘‘collective action problem,’’by which they mean the dilemma that emerges when several actors have an interest in eradicating a problem that harms allof them, but when each would prefer that someone else do the dirty work of solving it.
Global Authoritative RegimeIf everyone benefits more or less equally from the problem’s solution, but only the actor that addresses it pays the costs, then all are likely to want to ‘‘free ride’’on the other’s efforts. The result is that noone tackles the problem, and every one suffers. Several such collective action problems dominate much of international politics today, and scholars of course debate their importance and relevance to world government. Nevertheless, a few obvious ones stand out, notably the imminent danger of climate change, the difficulty of addressing terrorism, and the complex task of humanitarian intervention. All of these are commonly (though not universally) regarded as serious problems inneed of urgent solutions, and in each case powerful states have repeatedly demonstrated that they would prefer that somebody else solve them. The solution to the collective action problem has long been known: it requires the establishment of some kind of authoritative regime that can organize common solutions to common problems and spread out the costs fairly. This is why many scholars and activists concerned with acute global problems support some form of world government.
TerrorismThese advocates are not sonaı ¨veas to believe that such a system would put an effortless end to global warming, terrorism, or human rights atrocities, just as even the most effective national governments there surgent idea of world government have not eradicated pollution or crime. The central argument in favor of a world-government approach to the problems of globalization is not that it would easily solve these problems, but that it is the only entity that can solvethem. Aless newsworthy issue, but one more central to many advocates of world government, is the persistent possibility of a third world war in which the use of megaton thermo nuclear weaponry could destroy most of the human race.
Nuclear DeterrenceDuring the Cold War, nuclear conflict was averted by the specter of mutual assured destruction (MAD)—the recognition by the United States and the Soviet Union that a war between them would destroy them both. To be sure, this grim form of deterrence could well obtain in future international orders, but it is unwise to regard the Cold War as a promising model for future international politics. It is not at all certain that international politics is destined to return to a stable bipolar order, such as prevailed during the second half of the Cold War, but even if this does happen, there is no guarantee that nuclear deterrence would work as well as it did during the second half of the twentieth century. It is well to remember that the two sides came close to nuclear blows during the Cuban crisis, and this was over a relatively small issue that did not bear upon the basic security of either state.
Dilemma of TechnologyAs Martin Amis has written, the problem with nuclear deterrence is that ‘‘it can’t last out the necessary timespan, which is roughly between now and the death of the sun.’’ As long as inter state politics continue, we cannot rule out that in some future conflict a warning system will fail, a leader will panic, governments will refuse to back down, a third party will provoke a response— indeed, the reare any number of scenarios under which deterrence could fail and thermo nuclear war could occur. It is possible that the United States, if not other nations, can fight against the thermo nuclear dilemma with technology.
ABM SystemsBy constructing an anti–ballistic missile(ABM) system, America could perhaps defend itself from anuclear attack. Also,and more ominously, the United States may be on the verge of deploying an offensive nuclear capability so advanced that it could launcha first strike against a nuclear adversary and disarm it completely. But these are weak reeds. As things currently stand, an ABM system remains acutely vulnerable to inexpensive decoy tactics, jamming, and the simple response of building more missiles.
Multi PolarismThe first-strike option is even more questionable: an aggressive or terrified United States could launch a nuclear war against a major adversary, but no American leader could be sure that every enemy weapon would be destroyed, Campbell Craig making the acute risks of initiating such a war (unless a full-scale enemy thermo nuclear attack was imminent and certain) likely to outweigh the benefits. Technology is unlikely to solve the nuclear dilemma. Theorists considering world government regard the thermo nuclear dilemma as particularly salient because it epitomizes the dangers of the continuation of the interstate system.
GlobalizationAs long as sovereign nations continue to possess nuclear arsenals, nuclear war is possible, and the only apparent way to put a permanent end to this possibility is to develop some kind of world government, an entity with sufficient power to stop states—not to mention subnational groups from acquiring nuclear arsenals and waging war with them. Global Governance versus a World State Scholars never the less disagree whether an informal, loose form of governance is sufficient, orwhether amore formal world state is necessary. Supporters of global governance argue that the unique dangers created by globalization can be solved by a gradual strengthening of existing international institutions and organizations, making the impositionof a full-blown world state unnecessary.
World Trade OrganizationAnthony McGrew, a leading scholar of globalization in the British academy, where support for global governance is particularly pronounced, suggests that global problems can be effectively dealt with by liberal international agencies, such as the World Trade Organization; non governmental organizations, such as Greenpeace and Doctors Without Borders; and security bodies, such as the U.N. Security Council. McGrew argues that the key is to grant increased and more formal powers to such institutions and organizations, ultimately giving them greater effectiveness and influence on the international stage than nation-states.
International Monetary FundAnother British scholar, David Held, stresses the importance of making international institutions accountable to democratic controls. Held maintains that the world’s population must have a direct say in the composition and policies of increasingly powerful international bodies. Held, along with others who insist on greater democratic oversight of global institutions, worries that the current ‘‘democratic deficit’’ afflicting existing international bodies, such as the International Monetary Fund and the U.N. Security Council, could become far worse as they acquire and wield greater and greater power.
European UnionThe European Union is often offered as a model of what could happen at the international level. Gradually, once-hostile European states have cooperated to the resurgent idea of world government develop forms of transnational governance without subjecting themselves to the convulsive and possibly violent task of creating a European state. Nations that might refuse to accept the formation of a dominant state have nevertheless readily accepted the establishment of institutions and bureaucracies that slowly create transnational political bonds and reduce their own sovereignty. True, the process of establishing the European Union has been unsure and for those who want to see a stronger political union remains incomplete, but it has taken place, and in a peaceful manner. A similar process at the international level, contend advocates of global integration, would constitute apractical way to establish global government. Theorists who believe that a more formal world state is necessary do not necessarily disagree with the logic of global governance: it is difficult to dispute the claim that the gradual creation of supranational institutions is likely tobe more feasible and peaceful than the imposition of a true world state. The ‘‘key problem’’ for the governance argument, however, as Alexander Wendt writes, is ‘‘unauthorized violence by rogue Great Powers.’’
Transnational GovernanceAs long as sovereign states continue to exist under a system of governance, in other words, there is nothing to prevent them from using violence to disrupt the international peace for their own purposes. The European Union has created forms of transnational governance, but decision-making in the areas of security and defense is still the prerogative of its member states. Thus, the EU remains effectively powerless to stop violence under taken by one of its own members (such as Britain’s involvement in the Iraq war), not to mention war waged by other nations even in its own backyard (such as in Bosnia and Herzegovina).
A World State Is InevitableUntil this problem is solved, world state advocates argue, any global order will be too fragile to endure. Sooner or later a sovereign state will wage war, and the inability of are gime of global governance to stop it will deprive it of authority and legitimacy. International politics would then revert to the old state system. In ‘‘Why a World State Is Inevitable,’’Wendt argues that a formal world state—by which he means a truly new sovereign political entity, with constitutional authority over all nations—will naturally evolve as peoples and nations come to realize that they cannot obtain true independence, or what Wendt calls ‘‘recognition,’’ without one. In other words, the advent of global technologies and weaponry present weaker societies with an emerging choice between subjugation to powerful states and globalized forces or participation in an authentic world government; a world state would not threaten distinct national cultures, Campbell Craig as pluralist scholars have argued, but rather it is the only entity that can preserve them.
Logic of GlobalizationWendt sees this as a teleological phenomenon, by which he means that the logic of globalization and the struggle by all cultures and societies for recognition are bound to lead to a world state whether it is sought ornot. Such a state, Wendt argues, would not need to be particularly centralized or hierarchical; as long as it could prevent sovereign states from waging war, it could permit local cultures, traditions, and politics to continue. But a looser system of governance would not be enough, because societies that seek recognition could not trust it to protect them from powerful states seeking domination. Daniel Deudney’s recent book, Bounding Power, provides the fullest and most creative vision yet of formal world government in our age.
Interstate AnarchyUnified by a common interest in avoiding nuclear extermination, states have the ability to come together in much the same way as tribes and fiefdoms have in the past when advances in military technology made conflict among them suicidal. Unlike Wendt, Deudney does not see this as an inevitability: states may well choose to tolerate interstate anarchy, even though it will sooner or later result in a nuclear war. But Deudney is also optimistic that a world government created for the purpose of avoiding such a war can be small, decentralized, andliberal. In Bounding Power, he develops an elaborate case for the establishment of a world republic, based upon the same premise of restraining and diffusing power that motivated the founders of the American republic in the late eighteenth century.
Loss of Cultural IndependenceAmbitious sovereign states will be unrestrained by international institutions and agencies, even unprecedentedly powerful ones, and wage war for traditional reasons of power and profit. For Wendt, military conflict of this sort will simply push along the inevitable process of world-state formation, as societies and peoples recognize that a return to interstate anarchy will only unleash more such wars, while a world government will put an end to them and so guarantee their cultural independence. Military conflict inour age canwell mean thermo nuclear war, an event that could put an end to the pursuit of meaningful human independence and of the kind of world government that would respect it the resurgent idea of world government Is a World Government Possible? The initial argument against a worldstate, and evena coherent system of global governance, is the one that anyone can see immediately: it is impractical. How could nations of radically different ideologies and cultures agree upon one common political authority? But the ‘‘impracticality’ ’argument disregards historical experience.
France and GermanyThe history of state formation from the days of city-states to the present era isprecisely the history of warring groups with different ideologies and cultures coming together under a larger entity. While the European Union is not at all yet a state, who would not have been denounced as insane for predicting a political and economic union among France, Germany, and other European states seventy years ago? For that matter, how ‘‘practical’’ would it have seemed forty years ago to foresee the peaceful end of the Cold War? As Deudney argues, smaller political units have alwaysmerged into larger ones when technology has made the violence among them unsustainable. The surprising thing, he maintains, would be if this did not happen at the planetary level. The more important objections toworld government posit not that it is impractical but that it is unnecessary and even undesirable. According to one such argument, the world should be governed not by a genuinely international authoritybut ratherby the United States: a Pax Americana. This school of thought stresses twomainpoints: that such authority could more readily come into being without the violent convulsions that would likely accompany genuine world-state formation; and, as neoconservative writers particularly stress, that a world run by the United States would be preferable to a genuinely transnational world government given the superiority of American political, economic, and cultural institutions. The case against Pax Americana, however, can be boiled down to one word: Iraq.
War in IraqThe war in Iraq has shown that military operations undertaken by individual nation-states lead, as they have always done, to nationalist and tribal reactions against the aggressor that pay no heed to larger claims of superior or inferior civilizations. The disaster in Iraq has emboldened other revisionist states and groups to defy American will, caused erst while allies and friends of the United States to question its intentions and competence, and at the same time soured the American people on future adventures against states that do not overtly threaten them. Inconceiving and executing its war in Iraq, it would have been difficult for the Bush administration to undermine the project of Pax 140 Campbell Craig American amore effectively had it tried to do so. The United States could choose in future to rally other states behind it if it can persuade them of a global threat that must be vanquished.
Commercial StatesAnother objection to world government was first identified by Immanuel Kant. In articulating a plan for perpetual peace, Kant stopped short of advocating a world state, for fear that the state could become tyrannical. In a world of several nation-states, a tyranny can be removed by other states or overthrown from within. At least it could be possible for oppressed citizen sof that state to flee to less repressive countries. But a sovereign world government could be invulnerable to such measures. It could not be defeated by an external political rival; those who would overthrow it from within would have no where to hide, no one to support them from the outside. Kant concluded that these dangers overrode the permanent peace that could be had with world government, and he end up advocating in stead a confederation of sovereign,
commercial states.
Global TyrannyOne can raise two points in response to Kant’s deeply important concern. First, he wrote in the eighteenth century, when the specter of war was not omnicid a land the planet did not face such global crises as climate change and transnational terrorism. International politics as usual was not as dangerous an alternative to his vision of perpetual peace as it potentially is today. Second, as Deudney argues, there is one central reason to believe that a world government could avoid the temptations of tyranny andactually exist as a small, federal authorityrather thanaglobal leviathan. This is the indisputable fact that— barring extraterrestrial invasion—a world government would have no need for a policy of external security. States often become increasingly tyrannical as they use external threats to justify internal repression and authoritarian policies.
Suppression of DissentThese threats, whether real or imagined, have throughout history and to the present day been used by leaders to justify massive taxation, conscription, martial law, and the suppression of dissent. But no world government could plausibly make such demands. Will the world government movement become a potent political force, or will it fade away as it did in the late1940s? To a degree the answer to this question depends on the near-term future of international politics. If the United States alters its foreign policy and moves to manage the unipolar world more magnanimously, or, alternatively, if a newpower (such as China) arises quickly to balance American power and instigate a new Cold War, the movement could the resurgent idea of world government fade.
So, too, if existing international organizations some how succeed in ameliorating climate change, fighting terrorism, and preventing humanitarian crises and other global problems. On the other hand, if the United States continues to pursue a Pax Americana, or if the transnational problems worsen,themovement could become a serious international cause. These considerations aside, as Reinhold Niebuhr, HansMorgenthau, and othersdiscernedduringtheheightof theColdWar, thedeepest argument for worldgovernment—the specterof global nuclearwar—will endureas longas sovereign nation-states continue to deploy nuclear weaponry. Whatever occurs overthenear-termfuture, that is a fact that is not going away. The great distinction between the international system prevailing in Niebuhr and Morgenthau’s day and the system in our own timeis that the chances of attaining some form of world government have been radically enhanced by the end of the Cold War and the emergence of a unipolar order. This condition, however,will not last forever.
2024 is the new 1984.
Forty years past the time that George Orwell envisioned the stomping boot of Big Brother, the police state is about to pass off the baton to the surveillance state.
Death of Privacy Rights
Fueled by a melding of government and corporate power—the rise of the security industrial complex—this watershed moment sounds a death knell for our privacy rights.
Surveillance State
An unofficial fourth branch of government, the Surveillance State came into being without any electoral mandate or constitutional referendum, and yet it possesses superpowers, above and beyond those of any other government agency save the military.
Washington, DC
It operates beyond the reach of the president, Congress and the courts, and it marches in lockstep with the corporate elite who really call the shots in Washington, DC.
This is the new face of tyranny in America: all-knowing, all-seeing and all-powerful.
Tread cautiously.
Empowered by advances in surveillance technology and emboldened by rapidly expanding public-private partnerships between law enforcement, the Intelligence Community, and the private sector, the Surveillance State is making the fictional world of 1984, Orwell’s dystopian nightmare, our looming reality.
Surveillance Cameras
There are roughly one billion surveillance cameras worldwide and that number continues to grow, thanks to their wholehearted adoption by governments (especially law enforcement and military agencies), businesses, and individual consumers.
Facial Recognition Software
Surveillance cameras mounted on utility poles, traffic lights, businesses, and homes. Ring doorbells. GPS devices. Dash cameras. Drones. Store security cameras. Geofencing and geotracking. FitBits. Alexa. Internet-connected devices. All connected to facial recognition softwarea
Policing Software
Stingray devices, facial recognition technology, body cameras, automated license plate readers, gunshot detection, predictive policing software, AI-enhanced video analytics, real-time crime centers, fusion centers: all of these technologies and surveillance programs rely on public-private partnerships that together create a sticky spiderweb from which there is no escape. What this adds up to for government agencies (that is, FBI, NSA, DHS agents, etc., as well as local police) is a surveillance map that allows them to track someone’s movements over time and space, hopscotching from doorbell camera feeds and business security cameras to public cameras on utility poles, license plate readers, traffic cameras, drones, etc.
No Fourth Amendment
It has all but eliminated the notion of privacy enshrined in the Fourth Amendment and radically re-drawn the line of demarcation between our public and private selves.
Police State
The police state has become particularly adept at sidestepping the Fourth Amendment, empowered by advances in surveillance technology and emboldened by rapidly expanding public-private partnerships between law enforcement, the Intelligence Community, and the private sector.
Spy Drones
The first surveillance revolution came about as a result of government video cameras being installed in public areas. It’s estimated that Americans are caught on camera an average of 238 times every week (160 times per week while driving; 40 times per week at work; 24 times per week while out running errands and shopping; and 14 times per week through various other channels and activities). That doesn’t even touch on the coverage by surveillance drones, which remain a relatively covert part of police spying operations.
Without Court Orders
Amazon’s video surveillance doorbell, and Google’s Nest Cam. No longer do police even have to request permission of homeowners for such access: increasingly, corporations have given police access to footage as part of their so-called criminal investigations with or without court orders.
Artificial Intelligence
Facial recognition software and artificial intelligence-powered programs that can track people by their biometrics, clothing, behavior and car, thereby synthesizing the many strands of surveillance video footage into one cohesive narrative, which privacy advocates refer to as 360 degree surveillance.
Digital Gated Communities
These cameras—and the public-private eyes peering at us through them—are re-engineering a society structured around the aesthetic of fear and, in the process, empowering “people to not just watch their neighborhood, but to organize as watchers,” creating not just digital neighborhood watches but digital gated communities.
First Amendment Activity
Finally, there is a repressive, suppressive effect to surveillance that not only acts as a potentially small deterrent on crime but serves to monitor and chill lawful First Amendment activity.